#1 Touchdowns vary a lot from year to year and players who had fewer touchdowns the previous year are generally undervalued while players with more touchdowns are generally overvalued.
#2 Rookie running backs that were drafted in the top 12 in the NFL Draft are the only ones that are undervalued in fantasy drafts.
#3 Rookie wide receivers that were drafted in the top 12 in the NFL Draft are very overvalued in fantasy drafts.
#4 Running backs who have between two and five years of experience in the NFL and a high yards per carry average but few carries are the best breakout candidates.
#5 Wide receivers who have between two and five years of experience in the NFL with a low touchdown to reception ratio are the best breakout candidates.
#6 Drafting two quarterbacks between the eighth and tenth round proves to be a much better strategy than drafting one of the top quarterbacks.
#7 Do not get too excited by new head coaches, teams that bring back the same HC and OC are generally better bets for fantasy football.
#8 Draft the most depth at the position which you neglect in the first nine rounds of your fantasy draft, do not pass on a good player in early rounds because you already have all your starters at that position and do not neglect the importance of a third QB.
#9 Cold weather has an impact for fantasy football playoff games but not a huge one so use it to break a tie between players or for some of your backups.
#10 Defenses are so unpredictable that this year’s strength of schedule has very little meaning and you are much better off looking at which player had inflated or deflated stats in the previous year because of an easier or harder schedule.
#11 Do not pay attention to a player’s consistency; a good player has more value than a consistent player.
#12 Be extremely careful with running backs over 32 years old or who have over 3,000 career touches. The ones with over 2,250 career touches require more studying but can be good picks.
#13 You should only worry about bye weeks in leagues where you are not allowed to pick up players on waivers.
#14 When watching pre-season games, focus on the system that each team is using and whether they run or pass more often than they did last year rather than focusing on individual players.