Happy Jered Weaver at Coors day! Yes it’s time we find out how a 79 mph curveball breaks at elevation, and we find out how many home runs the Rockies will hit before the Padres go to the bullpen (my guess is 4). Today is a tricky day with Rockies players likely to be owned at record numbers and very few aces to use on the slate, but don’t worry we found a few value plays and alternative stacks that should help you cash today.
FanDuel MLB Picks and Notes For Today
- J.T. Realmuto ($2,600) vs Braves (Colon)
- Jonathan Lucroy ($3,000) @ Angels (Skaggs)
- Wellington Castillo ($2,800) @ Boston (Pomeranz)
- Mark Reynolds ($4,000) vs Padres (Weaver)
- Freddie Freeman ($3,600) @ Marlins (Straily)
- Ryan Zimmerman ($2,700) vs Cardinals (Lynn)
- Ryan Schimpf ($3,500) @ Rockies (Senzatela)
- DJ LeMahieu ($3,400) vs Padres (Weaver)
- Roughned Odor ($3,300) @ Angels (Skaggs)
- Trevor Story ($4,100) vs Padres (Weaver)
- Elvis Andrus ($2,900) @ Angels (Skaggs)
- Dansby Swanson ($2,600) @ Marlins (Straily)
- Nolan Arenado ($4,900) vs Padres (Weaver)
- Jake Lamb ($3,400) @ Giants (Samardzija)
- Jedd Gyorko ($2,500) @ Nationals (Gonzalez)
- Charlie Blackmon ($4,500) / Carlos Gonzalez ($4,000) vs Padres (Weaver)
- Bryce Harper ($4,800) / Adam Eaton ($3,700) vs Cardinals (Lynn)
- Billy Hamilton ($3,200) @ Pirates (Taillon)
- Gregory Polanco ($3,100) vs Reds (Davis)
- Stephen Piscotty ($2,900) @ Nationals (Gonzalez)
- Ender Inciarte ($2,500) @ Marlins (Straily)
Pitchers I’m Using
Jameson Taillon, PIT vs Reds ($8,000) – The Buccos’ second year hurler came in to the year with a lot of hype, and he lived up to it in week one going toe to toe with Chris Sale against a powerful Red Sox lineup at Fenway. Today he gets a much less potent Reds offense at PNC, in front of a great defense. Unlike his teammate Glasnow, Taillon has good control and quite a bit of upside in this matchup. I imagine he’ll be popular without many other aces to pay up for, but he’s a great cash game option today.
Robbie Ray, ARI @ Giants ($7,500) – Can I interest you in a pitcher with massive strikeout upside, pitching in a great park against a depleted lineup? Look no further than Robbie Ray. The Giants are a bottom tier offense against southpaws, and they’re likely to be without their best lefty masher in Buster Posey today. AT&T Park is also a huge upgrade over Chase Field and Ray has pitched well there in 2016 pitching to a 2.45 ERA with 15 punchouts over 11 innings. He’s a little risky, but he’s the type of pitcher that can win you a GPP.
Pitchers I’m Targeting Against
Jered Weaver, SD @ Rockies – Jered Weaver at Coors. JERED WEAVER AT COORS!!!! This is a dream matchup for the Rockies but just know that Rockies bats will be 80% owned today. I’ll have at least a few teams loaded anyway though. Consider using the bottom of the Rockies lineup to differentiate.
Lance Lynn, STL @ Nationals – Much like his teammate Adam Wainwright, Lynn struggles against lefties with a .341 wOBA against southpaws throughout his career, and a .360 wOBA on the road. As we mentioned yesterday the Nats can roll out one of the best lefty lineups in the league – one that put up 14 runs on the Cards just last night. The Nats will be a popular stack, but the incredible matchup in Coors might deflate that ownership, making them a strong play.
Other Pitchers I’m Targeting – Rookie Davis @ Pirates, Dan Straily vs Braves, Antonio Senzatela @ Rockies
- Colorado Rockies – JERED WEAVER AT COORS!!!
- San Diego Padres Lefties – Obligatory Coors stack mention
- New York Mets Lefties – Clay Buchholz in a small park
- Pittsburgh Pirates – Rookie Davis isn’t ready for primetime
Sneaky Stack Of The Day
Philadelphia Phillies – Over the last three seasons the Phils have hit Harvey well, with the Dark Knight pitching to a 4.81 ERA in his last 4 starts. Granted he wasn’t completely health over that time, but there does seem to be something here. The Phillies have been hitting the ball well as of late, which may increase their ownership, but I’m hoping the “Harvey is back” narrative (plus the lack of quality arms today) turns this into a nice leverage play. Fire up your left handed b