Today’s FanDuel slate is split into two small pieces which makes it a bit tricky, but there are a lot of bad pitchers and a Coors matchup today so there’s good points to be found. Since we’re covering two slates I indicated which players are on the early slate whenever applicable.
FanDuel MLB Picks and Notes For Today
- Willson Contreras ($3,100) vs Dodgers (Wood)
- Victor Martinez ($2,700) vs Red Sox (Sale)
- James McCann ($2,200) vs Red Sox (Sale) (Early Slate)
- Joey Votto ($3,900) @ Pirates (Glasnow)
- Miguel Cabrera ($3,800) vs Red Sox (Sale) (Early Slate)
- Ryan Zimmerman ($2,800) vs Cardinals (Wainwright)
- Daniel Murphy ($3,600) vs Cardinals (Wainwright)
- Brad Miller ($2,900) @ Yankees (Pineda) (Early Slate)
- Ryan Schimpf ($3,400) @ Rockies (Chatwood)
- Addison Russell ($2,700) vs Dodgers (Wood)
- Trevor Story ($4,000) vs Padres (Cosart)
- Chris Owings ($2,700) vs Giants (Moore)
- Kris Bryant ($4,300) vs Dodgers (Wood)
- Nolan Arenado ($4,900) vs Padres (Cosart)
- Nicholas Castellanos ($3,000) vs Red Sox (Sale)(Early Slate)
- Bryce Harper ($4,700) vs Cardinals (Wainwright)
- Adam Eaton ($3,700) vs Cardinals (Wainwright)
- Kevin Kiermaier ($2,800) @ Yankees (Pinata) (Early Slate)
- Corey Dickerson ($2,800) @ Yankees (Pinata) (Early Slate)
- Steven Souza ($2,800) @ Yankees (Pinata) (Early Slate)
- Kyle Schwarber ($3,500) @ Dodgers (Wood)
- Hunter Renfroe ($3,000) @ Rockies (Chatwood)
Pitchers I’m Using
Jon Lester, CHC vs Dodgers – The Dodgers are horrible against lefties. Like, really, incredibly, worst team in the league by a mile, bad. Last season they hit .213 off southpaws, which was 21 points lower than the next worst team (Baltimore). Lester is a good pitcher with a great defense and incredible offense behind him and he pitched much better at home in 2016. There’s a lot to love here
Taijuan Walker, ARI vs Giants ($7,500) (Early Slate) – In his brief career Walker has been inconsistent to say the least. He looked incredible last April, pitching to a 1.44 ERA with a strikeout per inning but later fell off. It was later revealed that he was dealing with TEN bone spurs in his ankle, which he later had removed. Today he gets out of his home park and into AT&T Park, one of the best parks to pitch in, and he faces a middle of the road offense. Upside + price + park boost = great opportunity.
Brandon Finnegan, CIN vs Reds ($7,200) – Finnegan is a bit of a risky option today but I want to roster a lot of bats today so I’m looking to save money where I can. He’s pitched well vs Pittsburgh the last 3 years (2.03 ERA and 14 K in 13.1 IP) and the Pirates aren’t great against lefties and PNC is more forgiving than Great American. He looked great down the stretch in 2016, and again in his first start of 2017, so he may be turning a corner. I wouldn’t recommend using him in cash but I like him a lot in GPP’s.
Other Pitchers I’d use – Jacob deGrom vs Phillies ($10,000), Tanner Roark vs Cardinals ($8,600)
Pitchers I’m Targeting Against
Michael Pineda vs Rays (Early Slate) – I’m all over this game on the early slate with two struggling pitchers on the mound, but I’m focused on Rays bats especially. Over his last ten starts Pineda has a 4.85 ERA against the Rays and they already hit him around once this season. Dickerson, Kiermaier, Miller and Morrison are my primary targets but I wouldn’t be afraid to throw Longo in there as well.
Tyler Glasnow vs Reds – As a Pirates fan it pains me to say it but Tyler Glasnow is probably not ready for the majors, but the team needs innings so he’s going to learn on the job. The 6’8″ righty has incredible upside but the control just isn’t there, especially against lefties. He’ll also be facing off with one of the best OBP lefties in the history of baseball (Votto) and the Reds can pile on the score – like they did to Carlos Martinez yesterday. While it’s possible Glasnow strikes out 10 in 5 innings I’d bet he struggles in this spot and I’ll be using a lot of Reds bats today.
Adam Wainwright @ Washington – Once a perenial Cy Young candidate, Waino has fallen off dramatically the last few seasons, especially against left handers. In 2016 he gave up a .361 wOBA to southpaws, and wasn’t much better against righties. He also struggled on the road with a .374 wOBA vs .298 at home. Combine those stats and Waino finds himself in the worst possible situation – on the road against a team loaded with great lefties. Harper, Eaton and Murphy are expensive but absolutely worth it today.
Other pitchers I’m targeting – Alex Cobb vs NYY Lefties (early slate), Tyler Chatwood vs SD Lefties, Jarred Cosart vs COL Righties (Reverse Split)
- Washington Nationals – LHH vs Wainwright – Harper, Eaton, Murphy
- Tampa Bay Rays (Early Slate) – LHH vs Pineda – Dickerson, Kiermaier, Miller, Morrison
- Cincinnati Reds – all bats vs Glasnow – Votto, Hamilton, Duvall
- Chicago Cubs – Of course. LHB vs Wood – Reverse splits pitcher
- Rockies & Padres – It’s Coors and both pitchers stink
Sneaky Stack Of The Day
Detroit Tigers (Early Slate) – The Tigers are a great lefty hitting team and hit very well at home. As dominant as Chris Sale has been, they’ve hit him pretty well over the years. If you’re a BvP believer then you know Miggy, V-Mart, Kinsler and even Jose Iglesias have good numbers off of him. Given the limited options on the early slate I imagine Sale will be very popular so this is a great leverage spot in GPP’s if the Tigers can get to him.